Stock Market Now Through January

<a href=”https://quillian.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Wall-Street.jpg“><img class=”alignleft size-full wp-image-2943″ src=”https://quillian.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Wall-Street.jpg” alt=”Wall-Street” width=”425″ height=”282″ /></a>Human behavior is highly predictable. Dogs and cats have it down pat. Animals do not define their owners with euphemisms. They respond to them exactly as they are and know exactly what to expect. Human beings define their masters with all sorts of lofty euphemisms so they are completely confounded by what happens. You have no masters? That is because you define them as representatives, regardless of the fact that you serve them.

There are plans for the stock market. There is virtually no chance the averages will close down for the year, even if indicators lead you to expect that it will. Following an up year, you can expect a sell off in the first few days of January 2016 and then a break out to the upside which will be billed as the next up leg of this amazing bull market. Never mind that the breadth may be miserable and international events and circumstances will be miserable.

To accomplish these things, all it takes is all of the money in the world. The central banks have that and even more if they need it. All investors have is what they have earned.

How is such a thing possible? It is easy. All it takes is for the overwhelming majority of world citizens to believe the Federal Reserve is necessary, Open Market Committee members are honest people and that all that is being done is for the public good.

The truth is that Wall Street has hired government to enrich them and that is what is happening. It is as simple as that. The end, of course, is the complete destruction of the economy. That takes a long time so it is still open season on anyone who works for a living.

Americans will figure this out and rebel horribly but the odds of that happening in the next 30 days is real slim. I am forecasting dismal results for anyone trying to short this market. You are right about what you see but having all of the money in the world is an advantage that is hard to overcome. Donald Trump knows these things, so why is he not speaking up? Trump may be a refreshing figure but his bid for the presidency is self serving as all such efforts are. He will speak up only if it is to his benefit to do so.

<b><span style=”font-family: Arial; font-size: large;”>Here is Curbside Jimmy’s</span></b><span style=”font-family: Arial; font-size: large;”><b><a href=”http://curbsidejimmy.com/radio/Like%20The%20Highway%20And%20The%20Sea.mp3″> <span style=”color: #669900;”>Like The Highway and the Sea</span></a></b></span>

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Tech Skeptics

hatersxI would never be so silly as to suggest giving up technology. I will remind folks that herd behavior is the path of least resistance. The tech revolution has made it possible to herd more people in much shorter periods of time. Companies like Google, Facebook, Twitter and many others have learned how to profit by exploiting the human herding instinct. Being perceived as cool can be expensive. Sometimes it comes down to that or living outside the herd.

Notice that this is a Facebook free site. Independent web sites like this one are almost extinct. That is not by accident. Google’s business model calls for getting small operators jumping through hoops trying to get good search engine placement and squelching them at the same time. There are no true search engines left. There is no way to find independent web sites unless they are filtered through some marketing service first. If this is what people want, they have it.

A growing number are not so easily herded. Herd behavior can in fact be over ridden.  I think this is a pretty good article from the Washington Post.

 Techno-skeptics’ objection growing louder

The Rattle Snake Song is this week’s most popular Curbside Jimmy mp3 Download

 

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Impending Stock Market Crash?

122216R3000The chart shows the Russell 3000 Index in black charted along with the percent of its components above the 200 day moving average. This chart like many others being published this week show that the averages are being carried higher by only a small number of stocks.

In other times this would be a harbinger of a serious decline in the immediate future. It is still a very bad sign but we must remember that there is a politically untouchable system of organized support pushing the market higher. Odinary investors have only money they have earned to trade with. That money is theirs to lose. Gains and losses don’t concern central banks. Don’t think for a moment that all central banks are not buying outright with money that is virtually imagined into existance

That doesn’t render indicators useless. It does make it impossible to make a meaningful forecast with respect to timing. Back in the early fall, I cautioned readers to discount the possibility of an October selloff. The same bearish indicators were present at that time. The market is not going to crash here unless the Federal Reserve is completely taken by surprise with a sudden swamp of supply. Odds of that happening is slim. The vast majority in the U.S. still completely trust government and are completely clueless about what Federal Reserve policy has to do with stock prices.

Remember that Wall Street and international banks have hired government to make and keep them profitable. Of course this is a huge disadvantage to average Americans who are completely unaware that there is a problem.

I am still 78% in cash. The big deal here is protecting assets even if it means foregoing any return at all in the interem. The only thing relevent to predicting a crash is determining when the American public will wake up and discover they are being robbed.

Download Just Another Day at the Whorehouse

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Friday’s Stock Surge Was to be Expected

John Crudele of the New York Post wrote the following article.

Stock surge doesn’t make any sense

John actually does know why the stock surge occurred. Perhaps good manners prevents him from giving the reason.  I don’t get paid, so I have nothing to lose by telling the truth, offensive or not.

News, good or bad amounts to a free short squeeze. The jobs report on Friday was actually bad news to anyone who took the time to look at all of the numbers. Stock market bears of course had taken short position in anticipation of the market dropping further following Thursday. I have been warning people about this since August.  Any news bad enough to sink the market draws massive central bank intervention. A surprising number of investors still believe the system is honest.

 

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What we Know for Certain, Fed and Interest Rates

121215 crude

The crude oil chart shows the eventual path of the stock market and the U.S. economy.

Regardless of what the Federal Reserve announces on Wednesday with respect to interest rates, there will be a a huge short squeeze engineered by the worlds central banks and the remaining friends of the Fed who trade risk free for lending their assistance.

The worse the news is, the more the effort will be to rocket the market on Wednesday. Will it work? It has worked up to this point every time the squeeze has been orchestrated.

The fact that I am stating clearly exactly what is going to happen three days ahead of time sheds doubt on whether it actually will work this time.  Let me be clear, the squeeze will be orchestrated. If it fails the outcome will be disastrous.

The Fed’s first concern is the stock market.

Just Another Day at the Whorehouse is a timely tune by Curbside Jimmy.

Download Just Another Day at the Whorehouse

 

 

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Islam a Religion of Peace?

There is a short cut to being right about economic issues. Stop studying human beings as if they were an anointed species just a step below divinity. Do this and you will begin to understand all of what is going on in the world.

The next step is to accept total uncertainty as reality. Then watch the animals as they go about replacing that reality with euphemisms and fantasies. No one knows what life is. No one knows what death is either. All animals survive by consuming living things. The animals which do the best are the ones who do the most killing. The most prolific beasts at consuming living things and killing are human beings. Humanity is such an efficient killer that  killing is done by a small number of human animals. But, the numbers are there.

Accept  these things and it becomes clear that self interest is the universal incentive. There are no other incentive in play with respect to government. Why do politicians run? They run to get what they want and that is usually power and money. That is why you end up with no representation. After casting a vote, you are of no use to those you elect. The representation you feel entitled to goes to others who are more useful to the office holder.

These are the cold hard facts. Just know that if you expect government to provide more certainty in your life, you are harming yourself and making yourself available to be a sucker. Certainty does not exist. What does not exist cannot be provided. Watch human activity just as if you were watching an aggregation of other animals and it is no trouble at all figuring out what is going on and even what is going to happen next.

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Why You Are Not Already a Slave

There is no reason to enslave Americans. Why? Americans are the world’s most prolific consumers and for the most part docile to a fault. In today’s society hurting someone’s feelings often brings greater consequences than armed robbery.

Freedom should not be taken for granted however.  Your freedom depends upon you maintaining your propensity to spend. Notice what happens when Americans show signs of spending less. A law is passed to force them to buy products or services. Or, interest rates are kept so low that no return on savings is possible. The best option then is to spend since rates are so low. Borrowing and spending seem reasonable. War is another option.

Americans are safe from slavery as long as they are valued highly as consumers. If consumer spending declines watch out because your value as a slave increases relative to your value as a consumer.

 

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Fidel Castro

bbWorld leaders are always sociopaths. The job of world leader is not easy to get. The competition to get these jobs is so stiff that only people with pronounced special personality characteristics can obtain them.  The polite term is “political personality.”  Sociopath is a synonym. Psychopath and sociopath are mostly used interchangeably.  Any of these terms would be fine for describing Castro.

When Castro took over in Cuba, he replaced fascist dictator Fulgencio Batista. Under the fascist Batista, the economy went the way fascist economies always go. He was replaced by Castro who offered communism as an alternative. The elite in Cuba all left for the United States and a few other countries. It is hard to say which system was worse. Socialist societies mostly survive poorly. Fascist societies destroy themselves completely.

Under Batista, crime and government merged, just as is the case in the United States today. Organized crime ran Batista’s Cuba just as organized crime runs our system in the United States.

As a killer, Fidel Castro was about average. It is fine to criticize Castro for his crimes against humanity.  Americans take great comfort in shaking fingers at foreign despots. That is fine. They are guilty as charged.

Americans should not be blinded to the United States’ initiated atrocities. It would take many lifetimes for Castro to kill as many people as the United States has in the mideast in the effort to control and monetize their natural resources.

It is a principle of natural law that an action undertaken for an immoral purpose will have a negative outcome. Calling military adventures fights for freedom and other euphemisms doesn’t make them anything other than what they are.

Here is Curbside Jimmy’s Hard Times Coming  Hard Times Coming

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Is Trump a Fascist?

donald-trump_featuredAccording to the Republican National Committee, yes trump is a fascist. According to what a fascist really is, no Trump is not a fascist. Oddly he is being called a fascist by people who have no problem with every bill on which congress votes being an effort to rig a market or gain a subsidy for the politically powerful. Friends, As our government operates on a daily basis, we live in a fascist system. This is something the Republican National Committee wants to preserve. If Trump actually was a fascist, he would be exactly what the Republican Party leadership is looking far,

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Stock Market and Russian Plane Shot Down by Turkey

<a href=”https://quillian.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/bbg-plane_0.jpg”><img class=”alignleft wp-image-2891″ src=”https://quillian.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2015/11/bbg-plane_0.jpg” alt=”bbg plane_0″ width=”292″ height=”215″ /></a>There is only one guarantee. Central banks including our Federal Reserve will buy like mad men to stabilize world markets. The news of the incident will be minimized and marginalized by the U. S. media.  Will the intervention work? It probably will, but eventually this type of intervention will start drawing in more supply and the efforts will be futile.

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