Welfare You Cannot See

Supposed you owned a bakery and a man from the government came by and and told you that from now on the government was going to cover the cost of inventory for you and all of the bakers in the country. All you had to do is make the bread and pastries and pay other normal costs of doing business. Your profits would sky rocket. In a short time, you might begin to believe that it was good for the rest of the country to get free flour from the government. But, in fact the country would produce far too many baked goods which would be a big misallocation of the country’s resources.
Money is the inventory that banks carry. In a free market setting, banks have to buy their inventory by paying people enough interest to encourage them to save. In the US today, banks get from the government what is very close to free money. Continue reading

Views: 4

Stock Market Assessment and Positions 5/8/25

Stock Market Assessment and Positions 050825  PDF

I am basically a technician who has abandoned technical analysis for the time being. Buy signals still work and sell signals serve as buy signals as well. Any sell signal triggers a short squeeze. The charts below are of NBI, the biotech index. Notice the short squeeze, as soon as the long term trendline had been broken. This happens in unmanipulated markets but in this market nearly 100% of the time. I don’t know of a way to short stocks in this market without getting squeezed out. I go with inverse ETFs and hold the positions. Notice the second long-term chart. You can see the consequences of significantly breaking that long-term pattern.

Continue reading

Views: 6

Tariffs

Tariffs. 

 

 

Tariffs PDF

Tariffs are taxes on the overall population. The U.S. is broke. Consumer prices are skyrocketing. Individual citizens are the only entities which have any true income, or for that matter any genuine assets. In order to survive, the government must find ways to bleed what is left in resources out of the general population. The only other solution is to start closing Federal Agencies or cutting salaries of Federal employees.

Tariffs can be described as a benefit, and guess what?  A huge portion of the population can be duped into believing that they are. I have this saying. Never trust a politician, billionaire or broadcaster, Tariffs work against you, despite what these types say.

How is this possible in a democracy? As I say, democracy is the wrong system for a people who trust leadership. Americans hang on every word coming out of the mouths of the powerful. It is as simple as that. Add to that a number of misguided myths that purvey the national consciousness, as follows. here are a few. Continue reading

Views: 6

Ways to Close the Wealth Inequality Gap

Ways to Close the Wealth Inequality Gap  PDF

Ronald Reagan set the precedent first by embracing the Full Employment act of 1978 – which changed the economy from free market…. to planned. Since that time, the rich have done the planning. All administrations since have followed Reagan’s lead. It has been nothing but deficit spending and money printing ever since. The rise of the government -made billionaires followed.

Ronald Reagan was the first president to tamper with the financial markets following the crash of 1987.

Ronald Reagan’s programs have been followed by the creation of the huge wealth gap we have today. It was about normal when he took office. Even today, after all of the damage done, Reagan is still held out as the perfect icon of a conservative

Continue reading

Views: 3

Wealth Redistributing in the USA

Wealth Redistributing in the USA  PDF

iven the current mentality of U.S. citizens, it can’t be done. As long as voters trust their leaders, folks will just have to wallow in their misery. Democracy only benefits a population which does not trust its government. If this was not the case, there would be no point in having a democracy or a republic.

As long as citizens trust their leaders , a few will use government as a means of drawing wealth in their direction. So, with wealth disparities and a population that views government as their friend, there will be more disparities to come.

Continue reading

Views: 0

How and When to Short The Market

How and When to Short The Market  PDF Version

This is not advice, This is my personal approach. I don’t give advice on trading. I have managed investments for others in the past, Doing so diminishes my judgement.

There are no good investments in the economy today. GDP is elevated just because the stock market has  been goosed since 2006, Everything is overpriced, even gold. This is what happens when government is used as a tool for building wealth for those who control it. Tariffs will guarantee an outright depression. Free market attributes are necessary for launching a recovery,
Continue reading

Views: 13

The Imaginary Incentive to Serve

The world we live in is governed by the laws of dominance and subservience. There is no way to escape the system until our tenure here is complete.

Most people are unwilling to entertain the idea that most of what we do in aggregations of people is instinctive and that we have inborn propensities that are always present. `

Two of the instincts are to exalt our species and exalt ourselves as we interact with others in in the various aggregations we belong to. Because we are so important and special to ourselves, it is normal to expect that others view us in a similar light.

Continue reading

Views: 2

A Nations Of Fools

What we have in the United Sates is a multitude of fools. What is a fool other than one who bases his life on things that are not  true because the truth is too daunting? What is meaningful to a fool? Why that would be entertainment and engaging in mindless fantasy. Politics comes down to seeking political messiahs and virtue signaling. The role of citizen in a democracy, is to take authority over government and leaders. American citizens do just the opposite.

As unpleasant as they are, here are the facts.

While republican identify themselves as conservatives, they embrace political initiatives which are even more socialist than those suggested by the unapologetic classic socialists in the Democratic party.

What is socialism other than the replacement of price with political power for the purpose of allocating resources in an economy. In other words, who gets what in a socialist economy is determined by who does or does not have political power. Benefits all go to the top regardless of stated intentions. This is true of classic socialism. This is true of the fascist style socialism Americans are now embracing while calling it capitalism.

All the president has to do is say, “Make America Great Again” and supporters rally around the man and think of themselves as good patriotic Americans. So which period in history would we be better off returning to. Is it the 1940s and WWII? To do that we would have to have a third world war. Should we return to the 60s and be hippies again? How about the Civil War? When was this great period in history that we are going to return to? The president identifies scapegoats like immigrants and the Chinese. The scapegoats become the issue.

What about the trade war? So far, in all of history, there has never been a positive outcome for any country involved in a trade war. Does anyone want to place a bet that ordinary citizens will come out ahead with this one? So, we have a trade war which will bolster the profits of American corporations. American corporations are in fact headquartered in the United States. The corporations are owned by stockholders who are scattered all over the globe. Foreign central banks own significant amounts of stock in these “American Corporations”  So, Americans believe it is a good idea to put themselves in a financial hardship so that our corporations can win one for the team? Americans are trained from birth to do just that. That is not a way in which an economy works wells. It only works that way if the population is trained to promote its own poverty.  The greatest accomplishment of public education is to teach children to establish arbitrary loyalties and promote their own poverty by embracing the collective agendas of others and coming together for causes deemed in the public interest.

What about the stock market? Employment numbers look good but are they really? Even if the numbers are not tampered with and embellished has anyone taken a close look? We now have lower wages as a new normal for workers. Perhaps we do have more people working these days. Assuming we do most of the new hires are working for less real income than when job numbers were a lot less than stellar.

What about the stock market? Starting in spring of 2003, an asset value enhancement initiative was initiated.  With every day that has passed since then, the stock market has become more and more managed. There is no official policy stating as much, so you might wonder how that could be. Do you seriously think there is absolutely nothing in Washington that is done outside of a formal congressional setting? A better question, is. Are there any significant issues entertained in a formal congressional setting? I don’t know of any. Do you know any?

Here is why the stock market is overpriced and doesn’t fall. There is an astronomical level of organized support keeping it moving in the right direction? Imagine vendors  selling apples on a sidewalk. All but one has just a bucket of apples while while one large vendor has a huge cart of apples with far more fruit than all of the others put together. Who is going to decide what apples sell for on that street?

The goal of the asset value initiative is to is to concentrate stock ownership in the hands of a few who then decide what everyone else pays for shares of stock. Is there a theory behind this process? Of course there is. The theory is that high stock prices become a new normal. Keep security prices rising and the economy will follow and so on. Has GDP responded well? GDP is officially very good but how good is it in reality. It is hard to find growing prosperity within the masses who work very hard and come home tired everyday. We do have more working and making less per hour. Government spending is counted. When GDP needs to look good, government spending can be increased in whatever amount is needed for the purpose of publishing good looking numbers.

What we have with respect to the stock market is the capture, consolidation and control of a huge portion of one of the factors of production. The Federal Reserve is managed with political power and all of government is uses as a tool for personal enrichment. Stock buybacks are coordinated with Federal Reserve Policy. The public has its money parked in IRAs and puts little stock on the market as supply. Non-IRA money is concentrated in ETFs so hardly a soul is concerned with the value of one particular stock price. Where is supply going to come from?

For right now, there isn’t any to speak of but supply will emerge, although not in a way most expect. For now, any reasonable stock selloff can be offset by the elite buying outright. Foreign central banks already own a lot of American shares. They will buy more  if prices start falling, if for no better reason than to protect the value of what they already. The elite in general will do the same thing. When if ever or at all will stock prices normalize?

The bottom will fall out when the economy collapses and the damage cannot be explained away. The elite will panic in the same way everyone else normally does when their fantasy based paradigms fall apart. The elite do plan on being bailed out. Be prepare because they just might be. How? We don’t know yet. We do know that they are a lot smarter than the rest of us.

Both the economy and the stock market will collapse but the economy will be the first to fail. The economy is rotting from the bottom up and the rot is moving higher up the income ladder every day. The stellar numbers we are seeing are good for show. When the bottom of the economy falls out, the top will collapse on top of all others.

Do not expect an economic recovery. Only free market forces can fuel a recovery. Our free market system has been replaced with at least two styles of socialism.

 

Views: 7

Why do we have wars?

http://www.theburningplatform.com/From kindergarten on, children art taught that the United States is a peaceful nation and that its military promotes principles of democracy around the world. In the mind of the average American our military is constantly engaged in completely necessary operations that result in good things all around the globe. I reposted the photo above because it has a strong message. The photo is a repost from:

The Burning Platform

The Burning Platform is a great site for military issues.

Views: 2

Ted Cruz and the Flat Tax

flat taxThe flat tax is a gift to the donor class. Never support a candidate who proposes changes in the tax code without reductions in spending first. If you have no political power any change made through government will be a disadvantage to you.

There is one good reason for taxing the rich out of proportion to the rest of society. The rich lobby constantly to increase the size and role of government.  The rich reap enormous benefits from the growth of government and thus should pay the majority of its costs.

The most valuable attribute of any tax is in keeping citizens aware of the cost of government.  When spending is increased, citizens need to experience a loss of disposable income. Changes to the tax code in tax code by proposed politicians always facilitate more spending and guarantee citizens won’t object. If they don’t feel it, they won’t care.

 

Views: 1