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Beautiful Head and Shoulders Developing in NVDA
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Category Archives: Stock Market
Crash Before Christmas
Bag-holders are in place. YouTube is suggesting multiple videos making the case for a crash in 2026. AI bubble articles abound. It has been my observation that YouTube features these types of videos to draw in short sales to facilitate a huge short squeeze. When the bearish case is allowed in the media, a short squeeze is in the offing. This is December and time for the Santa Claus rally to get underway.
The Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next week, sparking a rally. Shorts will cover, just like they always do. But, there may be multitudes of longs, waiting for the next rally to sell. What if it’s not enough? What if it is discovered that the Fed has lost control of interest rates?
With so many forecasting a crash in 2026, It can’t happen that way. No one is forecasting a crash in December. A sharp gap up, that fails immediately or in a few days may provide the signal.
Don’t count this as an ironclad forecast. Certainly, there are other, even more heroic “save the market” tricks in the hat, ready to be pulled out
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Why I Don’t Buy Gold
So far so good for gold. Gold is rocketing. There are reasons I am not participating. First, Regardless of how good it sounds, as a standard, I never buy into foregone conclusions. More importantly, in my 76 years, I have never known of a case where any commercially advertised investment has proved to be profitable
For decades, gold has been advertised on talk radio and other venues as if it was an ideal investment. This is such a red flag, my experience won’t let me touch it. Is the sky the limit? Central banks are buying gold. How smart are central banks? Below is a headline I clipped this morning.
https://youtu.be/NnOn3faaJi8
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Stock Market Assessment and Positions 5/8/25
Stock Market Assessment and Positions 050825 PDF
I am basically a technician who has abandoned technical analysis for the time being. Buy signals still work and sell signals serve as buy signals as well. Any sell signal triggers a short squeeze. The charts below are of NBI, the biotech index. Notice the short squeeze, as soon as the long term trendline had been broken. This happens in unmanipulated markets but in this market nearly 100% of the time. I don’t know of a way to short stocks in this market without getting squeezed out. I go with inverse ETFs and hold the positions. Notice the second long-term chart. You can see the consequences of significantly breaking that long-term pattern.
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Stock Market Scheme of Things 2/10/25 Through Spring/Summer
Stock Market Scheme of Things 2/10/25 Through Spring/Summer PDF
Last February I posted the following. It has been my most read article for 2023 and right on the money as to content.
Stock Market Scheme of Things 02/23/2024 Thru Spring
Here it is February again so here we go again. For years I have been posting the same images, showing a reoccurring pattern that only a totally manipulated market could generate.
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Waiting for the Stock Market to Crash
Most are aware of the multitude of crash being made. these days. So why is he market not crashing? This has been going on since before the beginning of the year, and started accelerating around April. A lot had changed since I posted the following article observation back in February,
Stock Market Scheme of Things 02/23/2024 Thru Spring
One thing that has not changed, is that the market still hasn’t crashed. It has been kept from crashing. The market will not crash until it can’t be managed by hook or crook, the way it has been manipulated for many years. It is clear, however that it is not being manipulated as easily as it normally is. Most crashes occur during the September through October time period.. In all recent years, multiple sell signals are generated throughout the summer for the purpose of drawing in shorts to be squeezed so as to leap frog passed the regularly bearish early fall period. My point in that previous article was that there would be no crash until a crash could no longer be prevented.
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Stock Market Scheme of Things 02/23/2024 Thru Spring
Stock Market Scheme of Things 02232024 Thru Spring PDF Version
Stock prices are still being managed successfully. Nothing significant to the downside will occur as long as that is the case. If and when that changes, the indexes will drop.
As it is, these are the key factors.
Anytime a major financial institution or elite player gives a bearish warning, a short squeeze is in the offing. As long as minor league pundits on YouTube broadcast that a crash is imminent, it is not going to happen. As long as traders, investors, economists and all others explain market action in terms of normal market influences, nothing is going to change. Continue reading
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Fall Stock Market Manipulation Update
On August 12, I posted the following article.
Fall Stock Market Manipulation Update
This is an update to those observations and expectations.
From now until mid October, expect repeated all appearances to indicate that the uptrend line on the head and shoulders is about to give way. With respect to stock market manipulation, our betters only run a hand full of plays. This has been going on for at least two decades. That is all they need, knowing that all others view the financial markets as mostly pristine though, influenced by Fed policy and a few other things. What this accomplishes for our betters is to draw in shorts and wear them out with ominous looking market patterns. The whip them hard. Keep whipping them and watch them cover. Continue reading
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Fall Season Stock Market 2023
Virtually every year, I make reference to the fact that the fall seasonal pattern is highly negative for the stock market. Most crashes and serious downturns, historically, have taken place during this time period. As the 2000s ushered in, this began to change slowly. By spring of 2006, sophisticated methods of stock price manipulation were in place. These efforts have become even more sophisticated and highly reliable. As of now, the market is being held up by any heroic means possible. For more insight, type stock market in the blog search bar and plenty will pop up. I have written a lot about stock market manipulation.
I will add just a few new thoughts. Continue reading
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